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These are the types of incompetents running the government,

#politics #progressives #trumpresign #gop #resist #impeach45 #incompetence #maga #morons
Trump’s DHS Secretary Humiliates Himself At Coronavirus Hearing
 
These are the types of incompetents running the government,

#politics #progressives #trumpresign #gop #resist #impeach45 #incompetence #maga #morons
Trump’s DHS Secretary Humiliates Himself At Coronavirus Hearing
 
The chief of the Metropolitan police apparently thinks everyone would prefer to be locked up and safe than free and in danger.
She said "inaccurate" critics should "justify to the victims of those crimes why police should not be allowed to use tech... to catch criminals". "If an algorithm can help identify, in our criminal intelligence systems material, a potential serial rapist or killer... then I think almost all citizens would want us to use it," she said.
Yeah, umm, no ? Never mind the absurd number of false positives that this generates, wasting police time, the sheer scale of the privacy violation baffles me as to how someone can be this out of touch. I actually don't want the government knowing where I am at all times, thanks, because that's just rude. There's more to life than catching criminals.

#Politics
 
The chief of the Metropolitan police apparently thinks everyone would prefer to be locked up and safe than free and in danger.
She said "inaccurate" critics should "justify to the victims of those crimes why police should not be allowed to use tech... to catch criminals". "If an algorithm can help identify, in our criminal intelligence systems material, a potential serial rapist or killer... then I think almost all citizens would want us to use it," she said.
Yeah, umm, no ? Never mind the absurd number of false positives that this generates, wasting police time, the sheer scale of the privacy violation baffles me as to how someone can be this out of touch. I actually don't want the government knowing where I am at all times, thanks, because that's just rude. There's more to life than catching criminals.

#Politics
 
This article argues that Elizabeth Warren is the only candidate who can stop Sanders.

In head-to-head YouGov polls between Sanders and the other Democratic candidates, only Warren vs Sanders looks competitive.

However, I think that YouGov has a progressive slant. I'm not sure about that, but just browsing their poll results I kind of get that impression.

If we throw some Kentucky windage at it, then the two head-to-heads which look competitive are Warren vs Sanders and Biden vs Sanders. The other matchups look like they'd lead Sanders to get an outright majority of elected delegates.

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/2/24/1921456/-Elizabeth-Warren-is-the-only-candidate-who-can-stop-Bernie-Sanders-if-that-s-really-your-goal

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020
 
This article argues that Elizabeth Warren is the only candidate who can stop Sanders.

In head-to-head YouGov polls between Sanders and the other Democratic candidates, only Warren vs Sanders looks competitive.

However, I think that YouGov has a progressive slant. I'm not sure about that, but just browsing their poll results I kind of get that impression.

If we throw some Kentucky windage at it, then the two head-to-heads which look competitive are Warren vs Sanders and Biden vs Sanders. The other matchups look like they'd lead Sanders to get an outright majority of elected delegates.

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/2/24/1921456/-Elizabeth-Warren-is-the-only-candidate-who-can-stop-Bernie-Sanders-if-that-s-really-your-goal

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020
 
Quote of note:

"Journalism has become a well-gate-kept little bubble, if bubbles were created out of ignorance and contempt for what lay outside of them instead of just soap. And unlike soap bubbles, so easily pricked and burst, the walls of the ideological bubbles of our professional class are nearly impenetrable."

Via The American media elite has learned nothing from 2016. It will only get worse

#election2020 #journalism #bias #politics #inequality #injustice #FourthEstate
 
50% of respondents to Sunday's poll said Warren's performance in recent debates — including Wednesday's, where she ripped into the billionaire Bloomberg for his history of sexist remarks — impressed them the most out of any candidate.

It sure looks like Elizabeth Warren’s fiery debate performance last week translated to a slight bump at the Nevada caucuses.

According to early Washington Post entrance polls, Warren performed better among voters who decided in the last few days, compared to those who had decided prior to that. Of the late breaking voters, 19 percent chose Warren, while 12 percent of earlier voters did.

Whether Warren’s debate performance will be enough to fuel additional gains for her struggling campaign, however, is an open question. The campaign has previously said that it’s focused on turning out a strong performance on Super Tuesday, when 14 states head to the polls, and more than 1,300 delegates will be up for grabs.

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/2/23/1921411/-New-CBS-YouGov-Poll-Has-Elizabeth-Warren-Back-In-2nd-Place-In-New-National-Dem-Primary-Poll

Note: I'm not going to post on the national primary poll results, because it's only one poll. After there are more post-debate polls, we'll be able to aggregate multiple results and more accurately gauge post-debate movement. However, we don't have lots of polls on other things, like opinions on debate performance. I don't have the option to try and aggregate polling data on that.

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020
 
First and foremost, Warren’s self-description as “a capitalist to her bones” is her best line of defense. It also gives the Bay State senator an opening for counter-attack by pointing out that there is not just one form of capitalism, but several – especially, her version based in New Deal legacy economics.

Secondly, she can then pivot into an attack on the fallacies and archaic nature of laissez-faire libertarian economics, effectively tying Trump to such tired dogma. Along this line of attack, Warren could then frame an increasingly anti-democratic, libertarian conservatism as the true threat to capitalism – the real radicals. Because of their respective self-brandings, Warren can more readily present her as the defender of a better form of capitalism where Bernie cannot. By his incorrect description of capitalism as a monolithic entity and accompanying wholesale dismissal of such, Bernie has forfeited this valuable option.

Reading this case for Warren, I'm prompted to examine precisely why I self describe as a socialist even though the system I favor is regulated capitalism with social programs. For me ... my personal idea of socialism is that of a goal - a more abstract sense of collective "ownership". The idea that we're all stakeholders in a society which fairly cares for all of its members. I arrive to regulated capitalism as what I see as the most practical, liberating pathway to achieving those goals. Someone like Elizabeth Warren arrives at it from the opposite direction - starting from what's most practical and liberating, and applying regulations and safety net programs to ensure society is fair and cares for all.

I don't know how to articulate how Sanders arrived to where he is. His myth is that he has never changed, but that had better not be the case considering his earlier naive praise of the Soviet Union. Supporters are now trying to spin him as just like FDR, but that misses the point. It's not just about what policies one supports but the intent and moral justification girding it. It's the difference between saying "Black Lives Matter" and saying "All Lives Matter".

Sanders's branding and myth of inflexibly unchanging isn't merely confusing. It's a problem.

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/2/23/1921252/-A-Progressive-Liberal-s-Concerns-About-Bernie-Sanders-And-the-Case-for-Warren

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020
 
Warren’s anger is a great thing. She’s not using it to fight for herself. She’s fighting for the less privileged, a trait I actually really, really want in a leader. For instance, during the debate, she was furious as she stood up for the thousands of men of color who have been stopped and frisked, the millions of black and brown families who were preyed upon with redlining, and children with disabilities who faced budget cuts while billionaires got a tax break this year.

Warren’s rage is almost always in the service of others and that’s her secret weapon. Nothing made that more obvious than when Pete Buttigieg pressed Amy Klobuchar about forgetting the name of the president of Mexico. Warren jumped in, not to prove that she knew the answer, but to stand up for the only other woman onstage, even if she’s her competitor.

https://www.cosmopolitan.com/politics/a31022050/elizabeth-warren-debate-anger/

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020
 
538'a Nevada forecast

Bearing in mind that limited data prevents the 538 model from fully gauging the effects of the debate, their final Nevada forecast is:

39% Sanders
17% Buttigieg
16% Biden
12% Warren
9% Steyer
7% Klobuchar
0.3% Gabbard

Their model gives Sanders an 85% of getting the most votes.

Obviously the model pegs Warren as quite an underdog, but it lacks data to factor in her strong debate performance. (538's model was similarly unable to account for the effects of Klobuchar's good debate performance before New Hampshire.)

In their commentary, the 538 crew openly note that Nevada is difficult to poll and forecast. In their words, "Don't be surprised if there's a surprise."

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/nevada/

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal
 
Nevada polls going into the Caucuses:

There are only 3 polls that are at least partially after the debate, and they're kind of all over the place. The only thing consistent is a very solid Sanders lead. Averaging the three, we get:

34% Sanders
15% Buttigieg
14% Biden
12% Warren
10% Steyer
8% Klobuchar
2% Gabbard

The polls were from Data for Progress, AtlasIntel, and Emerson College

Source: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/nevada/

As I've noted before, I don't cherry pick polls. I feel that the best way to try and get a measure of the world of reality is to aggregate results. I'm not a polling expert though, so I don't have any fancy weighting or corrections to account for polling outlet quality and bias. I do a simplistic average because it's mathematically straightforward and it eliminates any bias on my part. Be aware that it may not be the most accurate.

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal
 
My support of Elizabeth Warren is simple. She is brilliant to be sure. She is certainly accomplished. But of far greater importance to me is that she is humane and deeply morale.

In a few hours I will go to the County offices and vote for her, even without knowing the results of today’s Nevada Caucuses. Then I will give her what money I can.

Why? My answer is simple.

It is the humane and moral thing for me to do.

Peace.

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/2/22/1921110/-So-I-ve-finally-made-my-choice

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020
 
the attacks were unscripted and improvised by Warren on the spot. She had planned to train her fire on Bloomberg in general, though, opening the night with a blistering reminder of terms Bloomberg has called women, including "fat broads" and "horse-faced lesbians."

https://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/warren-bloomberg-nda-nevada-debate-2020-elections

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020
Warren Doesn’t Let Up On Bloomberg NDAs
 
The 538 crew discuss Nevada and the state of the race in general. A lot of talk about a possible Warren comeback thanks to her strong debate performance. A lot of talk about the importance for Biden.

perry: If Nevada results in one of these candidates packing it in, then yes, it matters.

clare.malone: It matters more because of the failures of the earlier states.

The field is just muddled in this way that feels unusual."

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-nevada-more-wide-open-than-we-realize/

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020
Is Nevada More Wide-Open Than We Realize?
 
Warren opened with an attack listing similarities between Bloomberg and Trump for a reason. She’s previewing how she’ll attack Donald Trump.

That’s the visceral argument she’s making. She’s making a gut level appeal to show she’s the superior choice to defeat Donald Trump by showing how she can pummel away at his weak spots and not let up.

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/2/20/1920644/-Warren-debated-eviscerated-Bloomberg-the-way-she-would-debate-Trump-and-yes-it-matters

The point is to give a gut level reason for voters to vote Warren and not the other guys. The message is that she’s the most viscous fighter on the stage, and you need a viscous fighter to go up against Donald Trump.

This debate comes at must-win time for everyone except maybe Sanders. And given how Klobuchar got such a massive boost from her attacking in New Hampshire, it should have been entirely predictable that tonight it was going to be a rhetorical bloodbath. But Warren was the only one who came to the stage prepared to go after everyone. And she was the only one who came prepared to utterly destroy Bloomberg.

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020
 
lester holt: thanks for being here

liz warren: mike bloomberg is an absolute piece of shit

The Mary Sue has fun summing up the debate:

[...] last night’s debate in Nevada was both a really useful debate in terms of getting to know these candidates and also a legitimately fun two hours of television. That was, in large part, because Elizabeth Warren decided to stop playing nice and call everyone on their crap.

https://www.themarysue.com/elizabeth-warren-owned-nevada-debate/

https://twitter.com/CalmSporting/status/1230313047161364480

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020
Elizabeth Warren Absolutely Devoured Everyone at Last Night’s Debate
 
8 Takeaways from the Nevada Democratic Primary Debate - No 1 - Warren Won

Some analysis from Daily Kos staff. Note that Daily Kos is heavily progressive and loves Warren and Sanders (Warren more so). So basically, don't think of this article as unbiased news reporting; more of a fun "victory lap" for Warren fans.

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/2/20/1920540/-Eight-takeaways-from-the-Nevada-Democratic-primary-debate-No-1-Warren-won

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020
 
After the New Hampshire debate, when she got more speaking time only than billionaire Tom Steyer and entrepreneur Andrew Yang (who has now dropped out), she was candid about her performance.

“I just didn’t say enough, didn’t fight hard enough, didn’t tell you how bad I want this, and how good we can make it if we just come together,” she said to an ABC News panel.

Since then, she’s been a leading Bloomberg antagonist, seeming to set the stage for a head-for-head on Wednesday. She’s spent much of her campaign criticizing money in politics and swearing off super PACs, and is looking to paint Bloomberg as the embodiment of the pernicious power the wealthy have on elections.

https://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/las-vegas-nevada-debate-bloomberg

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020
Bloomberg Takes The Debate Stage With A Target On His Back
 
But there is a smarter, even-tempered, non-oligarch candidate who has never stopped, frisk, ignored or incarcerated a black body.

Yes, Virginia, there is an Elizabeth Warren.

https://www.theroot.com/elizabeth-warren-exists-1841775506

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020
 
The 538 crew discuss the upcoming Nevada debate, tonight. Despite the headline, it's not just about Bloomberg. There was a lot of discussion about all of the candidates.

natesilver: I dunno. Warren is not THAT far behind since nobody is THAT far ahead. Obviously a win or a strong second-place finish in Nevada could reverse the narrative about her, though.

natesilver: The debate is about Bloomberg, like it or not. It just is. The media is fucking obsessed with Bloomberg. And it’s his first debate. He’s 90 percent likely to be the headline, positive or negative.
sarahf: Yeah, he’s likely to be this chat’s headline.
natesilver: wE aRe PaRt Of ThE PrOBLeM.

natesilver: The line separating “Sanders as clear front-runner with huge momentum!” and “Sanders underperforming in his strongest states” is QUITE thin.
In New Hampshire, it was about 3,800 votes thin.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/will-the-nevada-debate-be-all-about-bloomberg/

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020
Will The Nevada Debate Be All About Bloomberg?
 
Nevada polls going into the debate - Data For Progress, Point Blank Political, Beacon Research, WPA Intelligence.

Three new Nevada polls were just released. Averaging the results, along with the WPA Intelligence poll, we get:

24.25% Sanders
16.25% Biden
14.5% Steyer
12.75% Buttigieg
11.5% Warren
10.5% Klobuchar

These four polls cover Feb 11-15.

It's unclear, of course, how Steyer will be affected by missing the Nevada debate (which notoriously includes Bloomberg). It seems implausible for him to receive an debate bounce, at least.

As a side note, I don't cherry pick poll data. I feel it is better to try and aggregate data for a more accurate idea of what's going on in the world of reality. I'm not some polling expert, however, so I can't do sophisticated weighting of different polling outlets to reflect accuracy or house bias. As such, I'm just doing a simplistic average. That might not be the most accurate method, but it's the most straightforward way for me to eliminate any personal bias on my part.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/nevada/

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal
 
Analysis of the opportunities and challenges for the front runner, Senator Bernie Sanders.

"Think less about ceilings — and more about volatility"

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sanders-might-have-a-ceiling-but-there-are-still-several-ways-he-could-win/

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal
Does Sanders Have A Ceiling? Maybe. Can He Win Anyway? Yes.
 
Reality check - Trump is still unpopular: Morning Consult: 41%, YouGov 40%, Ipsos 41%.

Fundamentally, Pelosi and Schiff did what they had to do - prove the case to the people, and ensure the Senate Republicans who voted for acquittal will have this hanging from their necks for all posterity. The conventional wisdom was that impeachment would cause a backlash that would be a boon to the POTUS and to Republicans in general. That conventional wisdom was crushed by Pelosi and Schiff. There's no Trump bounce. There's no Republican bounce.

https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/reality-check-6

As for the state of the Democratic primary race, there's this:

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-biden-hasnt-exactly-collapsed-since-new-hampshire/

The big news is that there's no big news. New Hampshire hasn't resulted in anyone getting a big bounce, and Biden hasn't really collapsed.

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal
Reality Check
 
14 Warren

11 Yang
10 Sanders
9 Buttigieg
9 Steyer
8 Klobuchar
7 Bloomberg

5 Biden

3 Gabbard

Out of these twenty questions, only three candidates agreed with my answers on at least half of them - Warren (14), Yang (11), and Sanders (10). My answers were a mix of "progressive" and "moderate" answers, but obviously slanted toward "progressive".

Where I parted from typical "progressive wing" answers, I seem to line up with Yang.

At the bottom of my heap were Gabbard (3), Biden (5), and maybe Bloomberg (7). Considering these three happen to be ones which I was already not wishing to support, at least I don't have to worry about any cognitive dissonance there.

If I were using these results as a tool to figure out who else I'd like to support ... well, Yang has already dropped out. And there's not a big difference between Pete (9) and Klobuchar (8). I was surprised that they came in almost the same level as Sanders (10), though. I was expecting more of a divide.

Yang's comparatively high score did surprise me, but that point is moot now. It was only one question higher than Sanders, though. Basically, I have a smooth continuum from Yang to Bloomberg, with one comparative "dream candidate" poking above (Warren 14), and a couple "no thanks" candidates below (Gabbard 3, Biden 5).

https://wapo.st/policy-quiz-2020

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal
 

Attorney General William Barr promotes outmoded policies that increase crime and make Americans less safe, according to dozens of elected progressive prosecutors who joined together in order to call out President Donald Trump’s man at the Department of Justice (DOJ).
#politics #doj #billbarr #crime
Prosecutors Accuse William Barr of Supporting Policies That Increase Crime
 

Attorney General William Barr promotes outmoded policies that increase crime and make Americans less safe, according to dozens of elected progressive prosecutors who joined together in order to call out President Donald Trump’s man at the Department of Justice (DOJ).
#politics #doj #billbarr #crime
Prosecutors Accuse William Barr of Supporting Policies That Increase Crime
 
An analysis of Warren's challenges and potential opportunities. Remember, Warren has had one weak week, and has come back up before.

This weak week has come at an inopportune time, of course.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/whats-behind-warrens-weak-start/

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020
What’s Behind Warren’s Weak Start
 
Gallup poll on who would vote for an X candidate. Let's assume that the Democrats and Republicans will fall in line, and the independents are the ones who will decide the election:

95% of independents would vote for a woman candidate.

82% of independents would vote for a gay candidate.

45% of independents would vote for a socialist candidate

https://news.gallup.com/poll/285563/socialism-atheism-political-liabilities.aspx

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal
 
I am the only candidate to propose an independent DOJ task force to investigate crimes by Trump administration officials.

https://www.facebook.com/ElizabethWarren/posts/10157248269083687

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020

Donald Trump is shredding the rule of law in this country. His Attorney General overruled career prosecutors to reduce...

Posted by Elizabeth Warren on Wednesday, February 12, 2020
 
If we look at the New Hampshire vote by ideology, the picture looks like this:

Sanders narrowly won because the "Very Liberal" voters overwhelmingly swung his way, while the more numerous "Moderate" voters split their votes. Had either Buttigieg or Klobuchar not been on the ballot, or had "Very Liberal" voters split, we could be talking about a shocking upset Sanders loss right now.

Interestingly, the numerous "Somewhat Liberal" voters spread their votes with the same distribution as the overall results.

This paints a challenging picture for Warren, with her strength coming from very liberal voters - who seem to be settling on Sanders. At least it's not disastrous looking like Biden, where there seem to be no openings at all.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-sanders-held-off-buttigieg-and-klobuchar-in-new-hampshire/

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020
How Sanders Held Off Buttigieg And Klobuchar In New Hampshire
 
RULE OF LAW

Now it's three! Three prosecutor resignations at the DOJ, over the Stone reversal!

https://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/prosecutor-on-roger-stone-case-withdraws-after-doj-sentencing-reversal

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal
Three Prosecutors On Roger Stone Case Bail After DOJ Sentencing Reversal
 
A memo written by Roger Lau to Warren supporters, detailing strategy and internal thinking within the Warren campaign:

If the early states deliver mixed results for the field, and no seismic event shakes up the top three, the remaining viable candidates for the Democratic nomination as of Super Tuesday will be Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren. In that three-way race, Elizabeth Warren is the candidate with the highest potential ceiling of support and the one best positioned to unite the party and lead the Democratic ticket to defeat Donald Trump.

https://medium.com/@TeamWarren_50976/a-look-ahead-f178123f1556

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal #Warren #Warren2020
 
"Like Brandeis, Warren’s primary goal is to depose the monopolists and tame finance, so that a broader swath of the public can participate in the economy as owners and entrepreneurs. "

An interesting analysis of how Warren's ideals come from a tradition of middle class liberalism.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/02/differences-between-warren-and-sanders-matter/605971/

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal
 
“Although LTC Vindman lived up to his oath to protect and defend our Constitution by bravely stepping forward to tell the truth, he has been viciously attacked by the President and forced to endure threats to his and his family’s safety,”

https://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/schumer-urges-all-department-watchdogs-to-investigate-whistleblower-retaliation

#USPolitics #Politics #Progressive #Liberal
Schumer Urges All Department Watchdogs To Investigate Whistleblower Retaliation
 
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